Foresighted Demand Side Management

We consider a smart grid with an independent system operator (ISO), and distributed aggregators who have energy storage and purchase energy from the ISO to serve its customers. All the entities in the system are foresighted: each aggregator seeks to minimize its own long-term payments for energy purchase and operational costs of energy storage by deciding how much energy to buy from the ISO, and the ISO seeks to minimize the long-term total cost of the system (e.g. energy generation costs and the aggregators’ costs) by dispatching the energy production among the generators. The decision making of the foresighted entities is complicated for two reasons. First, the information is decentralized among the entities: the ISO does not know the aggregators’ states (i.e. their energy consumption requests from customers and the amount of energy in their storage), and each aggregator does not know the other aggregators’ states or the ISO’s state (i.e. the energy generation costs and the status of the transmission lines). Second, the coupling among the aggregators is unknown to them due to their limited information. Specifically, each aggregator’s energy purchase affects the price, and hence the payments of the other aggregators. However, none of them knows how its decision influences the price because the price is determined by the ISO based on its state. We propose a design framework in which the ISO provides each aggregator with a conjectured future price, and each aggregator distributively minimizes its own long-term cost based on its conjectured price as well as its locally-available information. The proposed framework can achieve the social optimum despite being decentralized and involving complex coupling among the various entities interacting in the system. Simulation results show that the proposed foresighted demand side management achieves significant reduction in the total cost, compared to the optimal myopic demand side management (up to 60% reduction), and the foresighted demand side management based on the Lyapunov optimization framework (up to 30% reduction).